There was a small burst of comment last week, both in the blogosphere and the MSM, when a Zogby online poll purported to find Clinton trailing all major Republican presidential candidates in potential-head-to-head match-ups.
If the data were valid it would certainly be newsworthy, but for a number of reasons (which I discussed here), the poll results did not appear credible.
Sure enough, a subsequent traditional Bloomberg poll from 11/30 to 12/3 continues to show Clinton beating both Giuliani and Romney in head-to-head contests (for that matter, Obama beats them both as well). The results are quite consistent with prior polling, and further supports the notion the Zogby poll suffered from bad sampling.
It would have been interesting to see daily result breakouts to see what effect, if any, Giuliani's public financing of his affair had on the polling. The incident was just breaking as the poll started, and garnered a fair bit of publicity as the poll went on.
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On a related subject, I just can't tell you how much I LOVE what Oprah Winfrey is doing for Barack Obama. It certainly does begin to level the playing field, given that Hillary has Bill. Of course, it leaves Edwards at a disadvantage as well as all the other candidates.
The possibility of NOT having Hillary as the Democratic nominee is kind of exciting, but I do not want to be overly optimistic.
I agree - I am happy to see her putting her clout behind Obama, and would have been happy to see her back Edwards as well. It would be nice to see someone other than Hillary (I.e., someone who might be described as progressive in terms other than "compared to the Republican candidates") earn the Democratic nomination.
Like you, though, I am more hopeful than optimistic.
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